Apparently, the world ends for stockmarkets in September a fact that will no doubt be picked up and repeated by our local finance news peanuts without giving any thought to what they are copying. So I thought I would fire up the old dodgy spreadsheet and see if there were any seasonal differences between the…
Brookings Fellow Richard Reeves explores inequality and opportunity in America with Legos, using them to explain the chances for economic success of Americans born at the bottom of the economic ladder. Reeves shows the chances that the poorest fifth of Americans have to rise to the top, based on their race, the marital status of…
If only we had something left after the mining boom other than a bunch of whinging billionaires and a some big arse holes in the ground….. More here – Norway’s gargantuan sovereign wealth fund, by the numbers
I tend to be fascinated by data – I am also a student of history and when those two things combine I can amuse myself for hours. The chart below is from The Economist and it looks at a series of social and economic measures that came about as a result of the First World War.…
I am just putting the final touches to a presentation I am giving at the AIA Conference on the Gold Coast next week and I have been looking in part at the inherent bias within recommendations by analysts. Fortunately, this topic is well covered in the literature and I have been able to pull together…
Following on from my post on the Dow following the events of last week comes this analysis by the WSJ on how investors react to bad news. I agree with the general sentiment however I think the 13.5% experienced during the Israeli invasion of Gaza owes more to the market being in the…
The recent pronouncement by Glenn Stevens the head of the RBA that the AUD was way too high and that real estate was stuffed piqued my interest the RBA’s ability to forecast. In doing a bit of research I came a across a document by the Treasury that sought to access the forecasts and methodology…
Whilst puddling around today I heard on the radio that Glenn Stevens the head of the RBA had issued a dire warning for just about everything. I have to admit I wasn’t paying attention because this is the same group that has predicted 17 of our past 3 recessions but I decided to look up…
This piece coincides nicely with a book I have just finished reading called The Importability Principle by David J Hand which disappointingly is actually quite dull. Although it does do a good job of explaining the inevitability of single people winning lotteries multiple times. Get enough people doing the same thing for long enough and…
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