Hugh Hendry is the manager of the boutique fund Eclectica. Whilst we see the world in different ways I find him to be interesting because of his ability to construct a cohesive, articulate narrative and the way he shines a light on the inner workings of a hedge fund.
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Trading is easy when it is going well and during these periods of profitability you learn nothing. You learn nothing because you think there is nothing to learn and winning trades just seem to spring into existence with little or no input from you (luck requires no input). The time when you learn things both…
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Looking at returns for the top 20 got me thinking about the notion of indices primarily dominated by large caps (top20) and those that were made up of smaller issues. This in some ways confirms my notion that the performance of the local market has been extremely secular and does not have broad support. You…
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The chart below is currently doing the rounds. It is from JP Morgans Guide to Retirement and it is being repeated without critical comment over various sites. It offers the standard line of the need to be fully invested in markets all the time because if you are not fully invested then you miss the best…
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I regularly get emailed things from S&P Dow Jones Indices – most it relates to index structure, performance or changes. Some of it is data for data sakes with no real use, but some bits are interesting from a summary perspective. I have always had mixed views about volatility and have spoken about it a…
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For those of you who hold BHP, my commiserations.Unfortunately, you have not seen much growth for almost a decade and have been underwater for the bulk of that time. The trajectory of BHP is interesting because it points directly to the fact that we have not had a mining boom – we have had…
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I thought it would be interesting to see how the domestic market has performed over various times frames relative to a grab bag of foreign markets. the charts below are in the following order – one year, six months, three months and one month. On the longer time frames we are rubbish but over the…
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