So said Niels Bohr yet despite this folks are always sticking their necks out – inevitably to be proven wrong. The latest round of predictions come in the wake of recent events in Eqypt and concern what might happen to oil. Given oils significance within the industrialised world it is no surprise that pundits all…
DetailsLast month, I was interviewed by Dr Lorwai Tan on the radio, and it ended up being one of the most revealing, in depth interviews ever. Lorwai dragged information out of me that I’d never previously disclosed before. Luckily, we’ve got a recording of the whole interview just for you. Just when you thought I…
DetailsI probably could have generated any number of reasons as to why I would post this. Its a metaphor for trading, small players always get hurt, expect the unexpected blah blah blah. But the reason is its Monday and Mexican wrestling has a wonderful demented quality so why not – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRBoTcHOzOU
DetailsOne of our mentorees posted recently that they had been approached by a spruiker touting that they could generate them a 1000% pa return. Thats correct 1000% – I have not made a mistake. So I did a back of the envelope calculation on $100k invested at 1000%pa and got the following – Year 1…
DetailsInteresting research post the GFC from Sanjai Bhagat and Brian Bouton (http://leeds-faculty.colorado.edu/bhagat/BankComp-Capital-Jan2011.pdf) This research uncovered the following little gem – “The key finding is that chief executives were “30 times more likely to be involved in a sell trade compared with an open-market buy trade” of their own bank’s stock and “the dollar value of…
DetailsI have to admit I have always been a little confused by the somewhat myopic view that traders take towards commodities. I remember when I was a broker if gold showed the slightest sign of moving everyone in the dealing room go all a quiver and rush off for a cold shower. This interesting thing…
DetailsLately, I’ve had a few e-mails regarding which type of performance stats traders should be keeping. Since trading is essentially a small business, it is necessary for us to track our performance to see how we are doing. Simply looking at raw returns presents us with a picture that is incomplete. So in this blog…
DetailsLately, I’ve had a few e-mails regarding which type of performance stats traders should be keeping. Since trading is essentially a small business, it is necessary for us to track our performance to see how we are doing. Simply looking at raw returns presents us with a picture that is incomplete. So in this blog…
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