China

This chart of the Shanghai Composite interests me. If we accept that markets are forward pricing mechanisms then this presents an interesting picture of the true internal dynamics of the Chinese economy. As opposed to the state sponsored data shows this chart by derivation an economy that is actually slowing not expanding. The Shanghai Composite…

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Delusions…..again

I have written before about the nature of delusions and how permanent they seem to be in those that suffer them. Every time I come across something to do with such behaviour it reinforces in me that irrationality is the default state for humans and that there is not a lot that can really be…

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WTF??

This is Goldmans view on the Euro – if someone can understand it can they please tell the rest of us – 1. Risk Correlations: In recent days we had become more preoccupied with potential risks to our tactical trading recommendations. We published a daily on the persistent Dollar correlations with risk assets and on…

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Game Theory

Excellent chat with game theorist Ariel Rubinstein. Ariel Rubinstein of Tel Aviv University and New York University talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the state of game theory and behavioral economics, two of the most influential areas of economics in recent years. Drawing on his Afterword for the 60th anniversary edition of Von Neumann…

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