IF THE losses at UBS that surfaced this month were caused by a “rogue” trader, would that make his colleagues stable? Not if research being undertaken by John Coates, a neuroscientist at Cambridge University and a former derivatives trader, is anything to go by. His work suggests that hormones drive investment decisions to a far…Details
I have been reading some of the commentary about this particular interview with so called trader Alessio Rastani. Much has been said about the veracity of this interview whether it was legitimate or a well crafted hoax. Irrespective of any of this the commentary around it has been somewhat hysterical and completely misses the point. The…Details
From the WSJ – …across the financial markets, a sea change is taking place. Investors are abandoning the time-tested “stocks for the long run” optimism that dominated since the late 1980s. Instead, there is a widening belief that the mess left behind by the housing bubble and financial crisis will be a morass to contend…Details
I must admit my view of HFT has ranged from ambivalence – its simply technology moving on to mild annoyance at what looks like a sophisticated of front running that brokers have been practising since time began. To try and get a better handle on what the impact of HFT is I revisted this transcript…Details
As to be expected the VIX has spiked by levels of ”fear” remain below the levels seen at the peak of the GFC.
In the past I have written about prediction and the fact that we are absolutely crap at predicting the future. Despite this and despite the ease with which people are held to account for their predictions we still get this sort of stuff. This graphic tracks the predictions about the price…Details