Apparently when they get it wrong stock analysts stamp their feet and threaten to hold their breath until they turn blue STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS — Like oracles in the stock market, securities analysts come up with earnings estimates that are supposed to signal the worth of a company’s stock. But what happens when…
DetailsThe ever interesting and insightful Tim Hartford makes mention of the illusion of understanding complex systems in his latest blog. Switch on any business TV channel and you’ll be bombarded with scrolling quotes and jagged graphs. It’s all very well if you like to watch that kind of thing, but the flow of financial data…
DetailsWhen I read the above title in the latest new scientist I thought….it wouldn’t be hard to teach an economist anything since the range of their knowledge seems pretty dismal. Even worse they actually believe what they are saying and even worse than that so to do politicians. Haldane has been studying the global financial…
DetailsThis is from the Spanish – you will notice that the peanuts have also banned short selling of their index. It is good to see that cretinism is a universal human trait as is a complete lack of understanding as to how markets and economies work. Due to extreme market volatility, the Spanish regulator CNMV…
DetailsI have really never before seen such a neat encapsulation of what not too do as in the case of Dighton Capital. If you want a ready made check list of all the things not to do then here it is….. There have been quite a few winners and losers in the immediate aftermath of…
DetailsContinuing on our interview themed weekend this piece on the ever fascinating Ed Thorp is worth a read.
Jeremy Grantham the head of GMO is known for his quarterly essays to investors. Unlike other fund managers who letters to investors dont contain the usual postdictive crap and what has just happened but rather look at the big picture of what is happening in the world. Sitting in a Panera in Boston’s financial district…
DetailsYesterday I posted a piece that looked at the performance of various fund managers in the current market. One of those profiled was Jeremy Paulson. This piece looks at some of the difficulties faced by such a large fund manager whose outlier performance numbers might be fleeting. The hedge fund manager became an overnight sensation…
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