I recently posted this table of index price correlations. Its a fairly simple table that looks at the degree to which indices follow one another in their general pattern of movement. As you would expect indices that are closely related share a very high correlation. For example the Dow and the S&P500 share a price…
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The chart below from the website Chart of the Day has been doing the rounds of late. A variation on this chart has also appeared in Bloomberg and has been passed around a variety of news outlets. I am always interested in these sorts of charts and the narrative they are trying to convey. My…
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Apparently, the world is ending because the media says so. The source of much of this hysteria is that the media seemed to have discovered a tool known as the S&P/ASX200 VIX indicator which is also known as the fear indicator. One somewhat hysterical report claimed that it was the highest it had ever been, which…
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Like many investors, Mr. Bolz’s firm had a bet against the franc in its portfolios, which lost money on the currency’s sudden surge. It hasn’t made any meaningful bets on moves in the currency in the last few months, he said. An uneasy calm has emerged as investors show more caution. Volatility has all but…
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These are some random thoughts I have been putting together following the events of last week. 1. Markets move from manic to panic within a few sessions. Those who still cling to the outdated notion that humans are rational assume that when markets transition they do so in an orderly fashion. The thinking is that…
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Interesting look at bubbles and the impact of timing upon them. Abstract: Investment manias and financial bubbles have likely existed for as long as humans have been involved in financial markets. In this research piece we take a look at some of the more famous market bubbles in history and the extreme volatility…
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As someone who comes from a data driven background one of the things that has always intrigued me about financial markets is that despite being a wellspring of raw data it is driven by narratives. Humans do seem to prefer stories over data – in effect we are a hairless ape that prefers stories to…
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I grabbed the piece below from a social drivel site because it neatly explores something I spoke about in Sydney last week. This offers a paradox in that it attempts to explain something that needs no explanation and the explanation it offers is wrong. I say that the movement in the market requires no explanation…
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