I came across this interesting piece on the British Psychological Society website. You can read the article in full at your leisure but I wanted to look at one particular piece of the article. In short the article looks at the gamblers fallacy – that is the notion that after a series of losses that…
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I came across this study the other day – Which Investment Behaviors Really Matter for Individual Investors? by a group at Goethe University in Frankfurt. The aim of the study was to examine various investor behaviours and see if these behaviours had any impact if any upon investor returns. As the study points out there…
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As the chook shed fire that was the us governments shut down unfolded the press was full of words such as calamity and disaster without actually understanding what those words meant within the context of the shutdown. Many (read most) commentators missed the fact that the US was not Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal or Italy…
DetailsEvery now and again it worthwhile going back and reviewing some basic trading concepts. One of the tasks I get the mentorees to undertake is to find what a perfect move looks like to them. This achieves two things. Firstly, it gets them to start looking at price action in detail – something people are…
DetailsAs October once more looms large on the horizon we will be subjected to more idiocy about the siren like properties of this month and the pitfalls it holds for traders I thought I would offer up some facts. The first question that needs to be answered is October really that bad for investors and…
DetailsDuring the recent global financial crisis, regulators, politicians and high-profile media coverage blamed short sellers for amplifying stock market downturns. Regulatory authorities in a number of countries imposed short-sale constraints aimed at preventing excessive stock market declines. This paper examines bans on selected financial stocks in six countries during the 2008-2009 global financial crisis. These…
DetailsVery rarely do you get this combination of decreasing volatility, hence larger position sizes and a strongly trending market.
DetailsThis article popped into my inbox this morning – Where the Black Swans Hide & the 10 Best Days Myth Here is the abstract – Below we examine market outliers in financial markets. How much effect do these outliers have on long term performance? Can the investor prepare for these anomalies, or are they truly…
DetailsI have been following some of the commentary regarding the VIX of late – much of the commentary seems to be of the ilk that there is something wrong with the index because perceptions of volatility (fear) have been dropping out of the market. From my perspective too much is read into a simple tool…
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