One of the things that perpetually surprises me about trading and investing is the amount of absolute and utter rubbish that is spouted by people as if it were fact. The Dunning-Kruger effect is in full swing in market commentary and advice. This is old ground to those of you who are regular readers so…
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Panic is an overwhelming feeling of fear that can dominate our decision making. It typically begins with a significant and sudden change in circumstance. The outbreak of coronavirus has provided numerous examples of decisions that are seemingly fuelled by stress and uncertainty; from the bizarre stockpiling of toilet paper to the dramatic daily moves in…
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The other day I posted this equity curve that had appeared on social media. This curve is clearly fake because it resembles the climb profile of a QANTAS 737 leaving Melbourne on its way to Sydney – that and the fact that it claims a 97% win rate. Real equity curves display volatility as wins…
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There are a few things that always catch novice market commentators out – little things such as volatility, narrative fallacies and one of my all-time favourites – survivor bias. The chart below is lifted from an article titled – These are the 20 best-performing stocks of the past decade, and some of them will surprise…
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I remember it like yesterday… The date was 17 June 1999, and the dealing room was unusually quiet. A big announcement was pending… one that would turn my life and career inside out. You see, my employer — Bankers Trust (BT) — was no longer. A takeover by Deutsche Bank had lowered the curtain on…
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Louise Bedford here. The response to Jason’s articles has been incredible. That’s why Chris and I are bringing you another, by popular demand. Here it is… I bet you can trade like this too… – by Jason McIntosh Could a bet change your life? And I’m not talking about playing the lotteries or backing the…
DetailsThe Talking Trading Podcast Did you know that Louise Bedford and Chris Tate run their own Talking Trading podcast? It features expert trading information and interviews to fuel your profits, squash your fears and drive you towards exceptional trading habits. Get an edge in the markets to propel you towards the success you deserve. Subscribe here. IN THE PRESS Money Magazine: The…
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………..Investors have to face fear every day, although more so on some days than others (nobody complains about volatility to the upside), and don’t often face it very effectively. To quote Jason Zweig paraphrasing Mike Tyson, “investors always have a plan until the market punches them in the face.” Real fear comes with names, faces, and a story.…
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I am intrigued at the constant doom and gloom talk around the property market, not because I have any particular view on property since what I know about property could be written on a gnats arse with a six inch nail. However, I do know a lot about markets and systems and their natural ebbs…
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