Recently on the Google box there has been a debate as to whether gold is either a better investment than equities or is in fact actually a hedge against inflation. This debate is interesting because of some of the logical fallacies both sides make in trying to justify their arguments. If you ask the simple…
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Sometimes its good to look at the participants in other asset classes just to get an idea that it is not only people involved in finance who are useless. I have to admit I find real estate fascinating in the ability of agents to be successful despite their absolute and total incompetence. For example I…
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There is much talk around the google box that the current move in markets is a sign of an investment bubble. I am not so convinced – the moment markets actually go up people start screaming bubble followed by here comes the crash. Such cries are merely the emotional swings of hormonal market commentators. However,…
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I dont really need to say much about this. And to put the strength of the US market into context this is the S&P500 monthly. However, there is always some idiot who thinks they know better than the market. Remember my view – the market is simply a voting machine, it votes on which…
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More cleverness by Michael Lewis – I’d like to start by making a confession: It’s never been easy being me. Managing billions of dollars of other people’s money, and countless millions of my own, has been highly stressful. There was a time when I thought my anxiety, not to mention the investigations of my affairs…
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In the 2001 issue of the International Journal of Forecasting, an economist from the International Monetary Fund, Prakash Loungani, published a survey of the accuracy of economic forecasts throughout the 1990s. He reached two conclusions. The first was that forecasts are all much the same. There was little to choose between those produced by the…
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If ever you wondered how stupid conservative politicians in the US are look no further
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Well we are only five months into the year and I think I have found the winner of this years most useless piece of financial journalism. The clubhouse leader is Nicole Goodkind of Yahoo finance whose article Secrets of the worlds sexiest CEO is probably one of the most demeaning and childish pieces I have encountered…
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