Many ordinary investors who trade currencies are a bit like casino gamblers: they may think they’ll win, but the odds are they won’t. Aite Group LLC, a Boston-based consulting firm, surveyed retail foreign-exchange traders in 2011 and found only 11 percent expected to lose money. Forty-one percent expected to earn monthly returns of more than…
Details
For your edification I bring you two articles. Firstly, a series of predictions made by Saxo Bank economists. Secondly, and more sensibly a piece that rightly asks – where are the economists yachts? Once you have read the first article you will automatically know the answer to the question posed in the second article.
So they took a look at the data on Darwin Award winners over the past 20 years, from 1995 to 2014. This is excellent data to work with. The winning event must be verified, winners must “show an astounding misapplication of common sense,” the winners must be both capable of making good decisions — and…
Details
These are my last words on this topic I promise. We have learnt that merely taking the average annualised return for an index and then back dating that figure to achieve a hypothetical magical figure is naive and reflects a tremendous lack of knowledge as to how markets work. Likewise suggesting that someone simply buy all…
Details
This is rather like clubbing seals….. With four years to go in his bet with New York hedge fund firm Protégé Partners , Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffet is sitting in the catbird seat. The Oracle of Omaha made a 10-year bet six years ago that money invested in an S&P index fund would outperform a…
Details
What could possibly go wrong….. When Douglas Kobak was an adviser at a large brokerage firm, he suggested his wealthiest clients buy a hedge fund promising to be “a very conservative alternative to bonds.” Then the credit crisis hit in 2008, the fund imploded and investors got 45 cents on the dollar — as long…
Details
I have to admit that for some reason I find it hard to feel sorry for these people. It is a sad event that people are conned out of their hard earned money. However, you have to posses a remarkable naivety to believe that someone else can make you 1% per day on your capital.…
Details
The chart below is currently doing the rounds. It is from JP Morgans Guide to Retirement and it is being repeated without critical comment over various sites. It offers the standard line of the need to be fully invested in markets all the time because if you are not fully invested then you miss the best…
Details
In 1999, in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, my then graduate student Justin Kruger and I published a paper that documented how, in many areas of life, incompetent people do not recognize—scratch that, cannot recognize—just how incompetent they are, a phenomenon that has come to be known as the Dunning-Kruger effect. Logic itself almost demands…
Details
I'm your go-to-expert for all things related to our exceptional Trading Game Mentor Program. So don't hold back, ask me questions about the course. And remember, being patient is key as my AI bot skills need time to find you the right answer.
Also, don't forget to register for Priority Notification for the Mentor Program and get a whole heap of free trading resources.
To get that done, go to this link:
https://www.tradinggame.com/priority
