Of all of the lies my traders tell themselves, the one that shows up the most frequently is “I don’t think I can do this”. Even though I can see with complete clarity that they have everything they need to become an exceptional trader, their own self doubt steps in the way and barricades their…
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One of the most interesting things about markets is that they are not an homogeneous ecology – those who lack experience in trading or investing tend to speak about equity markets as if every segment is exactly the same as every other segment. It is obvious that the market is split into segments based upon…
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I caught a news snippet on the radio on the way back from the gym and the way they were talking it sounded as if all domestic banks had dropped to zero, shut up shop and someone had come around and kicked the MD’s puppy to death. Doesnt look like it according to the reality…
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I have been spending some more time playing with the data set below which I looked at last week within the context of long term returns for the All Ordinaries. One of the issues that is difficult for traders to come to grips with is the lumpiness of returns that are generated by trading systems.…
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I have been having a bit of a play with the All Ordinaries yearly returns since 1901 and I cobbled together the table below which I have coloured red and blue. Red is those years where the return is below the average of 9.8% and blue is those years of above average return. What is…
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Whilst I was away I only occasionally stole a glance at the market. I long ago lost the need to be in constant contact with the market – gone are the days of religiously carrying a pager and trying to do stupid things such as trade the meltdown in the GBP from an airport lounge…
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Every now and again I get sent a magic trading system complete with equity curve, generally these are some sort of magic system someone is flogging that promises massive returns and never has a drawdown. They are the sort of quit your job with $10,000 and intra-day trade FX and make $10,000 per week. If…
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The good old corporate euphemism of exploring new opportunities has been applied to the resignation of CBA CEO Ian Narev. Apparently you are not allowed to say listen mate under your reign we have had a big arse Ponzi scheme, the bank has tried to deny the terminally ill access to insurance they paid for…
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