The Holy Grail of trading—the idea that an ideal system exists which delivers consistent results without risk—is a seductive but dangerous illusion. In reality, all trading strategies involve trade-offs between risk, reward, and probability.
In trading, a prevalent cognitive bias known as the arrival fallacy often distorts motivation and impairs ability. Coined by psychologist Tal Ben-Shahar, the arrival fallacy describes the flawed assumption that achieving a specific goal—such as reaching a monetary milestone, becoming a full-time trader, or hitting a percentage return target—will deliver long-term contentment. In reality, the…
Details
In markets, it’s not just the move—it’s the surprise. Last night, the copper market delivered a textbook case of expectation mismatch. After weeks of pricing in broad-based tariffs on refined copper, the Trump administration announced that semi-finished goods like wires and pipes would face 50% tariffs. Refined copper, scrap, and cathodes were exempted. The Aftermath:…
Details
Very is the simple answer. Jessie Livermore’s trading career remains one of the most legendary — and cautionary — tales in trading history. To get a sense of his achievement, I have taken a table (which you can click on) that has been floating around the internet and tidied it up by removing multiple entries…
Details
If I am asked why traders fail, the answer often shocks people. They fail because they want to. Consciously, traders often demonstrate all the outward signs of wanting to be profitable; they go through the motions of designing a robust system, learning about risk management, and even pay lip service to the importance of psychology.…
Details
The title of this piece is derived from an article in the AFR, which examines what I consider to be a somewhat baffling decision by a reasonably sized local fund to continue shorting CBA despite its strong price growth. The decision by Sage Capital to continue shorting Commonwealth Bank (CBA), despite a +36% rally and…
Details
In the world of trading, complexity is often mistaken for sophistication. Charts littered with oscillators, trend lines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and exotic indicators can give the illusion of control. But beneath that clutter lies a painful truth: no indicator can tell you what will happen next. They tell you what has already happened—filtered, lagged,…
Details
Australia’s ASX 200 has hit a fresh record high—but beneath the headline lies a more complex story. In this video, I break down the internal dynamics of the market, uncovering how mid-caps and small caps are leading the charge while miners lag. We compare global equity markets, analyse the strongest YTD commodities like gold and…
Details
There is an old maxim in trading: if it feels comfortable, then you are probably doing it wrong. Dollar Cost Averaging is one such strategy – it is designed to make you feel better, not make you more profitable. For some odd reason, this topic has been bombarding my inbox for the past week. I…
Details
I'm your go-to-expert for all things related to our exceptional Trading Game Mentor Program. So don't hold back, ask me questions about the course. And remember, being patient is key as my AI bot skills need time to find you the right answer.
Also, don't forget to register for Priority Notification for the Mentor Program and get a whole heap of free trading resources.
To get that done, go to this link:
https://www.tradinggame.com/priority
