Make Smarter Decisions in an Unpredictable World

In The Art of Uncertainty, renowned statistician David Spiegelhalter reveals how understanding risk and probability can help us make smarter decisions in an unpredictable world. From medical choices to artificial intelligence, he shows how data can clarify the unknown, helping us distinguish real patterns from mere coincidences. Through storytelling and real-world examples—including historic miscalculations and surprising…

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I Coulda Been A Contender

Fans of cinema will recognise the title of this post as coming from a speech by Marlon Brando in the 1954 classic On the Waterfront. The quote also applies to many traders who let opportunities slip through their fingers because of a lack of courage. Courage is rarely discussed in the context of trading, but…

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Good Vibes Are Contagious

One of my favorite threads of research shows just how interconnected we humans are. Studies reveal that if you bear witness to someone else experiencing pain—whether it’s a someone close stubbing their toe, a person experiencing homelessness on a damp street corner, or a somber face in the waiting room of a hospital—you’re likely to…

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Its Never Too Late To Start

For Shigeru Fujimoto, an 88-year-old day trader who lives in this capital of Hyogo Prefecture, his “workday” starts at 2 a.m., when most of the population is asleep. The octogenarian first stretches to loosen up before he makes coffee and switches on his three computer monitors. On a recent day, Fujimoto was seen checking out…

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