“When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” – Charles Goodhart In trading, precision is both a tool and a trap. The pursuit of measurable improvement—through backtested systems, metrics, and indicators—often masks a deeper vulnerability: the corruption of signals once they become goals in themselves. This is the heart of…
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We each come to trading with notions of what trading should be or the role it should fulfil in our lives. Many of us have come to trading with a simple work ethic – the more you work or the harder you try, the better you become. But trading presents a paradox – working harder…
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The Unique Psychological Demands of Trading Trading the financial markets creates a psychological pressure cooker unlike any other professional pursuit. Unlike traditional careers with clear hierarchies, predictable feedback loops, and gradual consequences, trading offers an unforgiving arena where psychological vulnerabilities are not just exposed—they’re magnified. This environment can be particularly jarring for traders entering the…
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The idea of leaving behind the corporate grind to become a full-time trader is often romanticised—freedom, autonomy, and the thrill of the markets. But for many who make this leap, the reality is far more psychologically demanding than anticipated. The transition from a structured, hierarchical environment to the self-directed and uncertain world of trading brings…
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In the previous post, I mentioned the notion of recency bias – that is, to assume that the only possible outcomes on offer are those you have experienced. Sadly, for your ego, the market existed long before you decided to take an interest, and it will continue long after you’ve lost interest. To bring the…
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Unfortunately, the human brain is not geared towards the world it has created. The software that runs our brains is effectively a Model T Ford trying to cope with being on an autobahn with an unlimited speed limit. As traders, we can both see and experience this every day. The current market turmoil has caused…
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In The Art of Uncertainty, renowned statistician David Spiegelhalter reveals how understanding risk and probability can help us make smarter decisions in an unpredictable world. From medical choices to artificial intelligence, he shows how data can clarify the unknown, helping us distinguish real patterns from mere coincidences. Through storytelling and real-world examples—including historic miscalculations and surprising…
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Fans of cinema will recognise the title of this post as coming from a speech by Marlon Brando in the 1954 classic On the Waterfront. The quote also applies to many traders who let opportunities slip through their fingers because of a lack of courage. Courage is rarely discussed in the context of trading, but…
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This article is behind a paywall, but you can get the general gist from the opening two paragraphs. If the pay of local fund managers were based on ability, the vast majority would be delivering newspapers to make ends meet. China is considering slashing pay of fund managers who underperform their benchmarks as part of…
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