This brief discussion has arisen from a question in one of our forums, prompting me to think more deeply. If you’ve been watching U.S. markets closely, you might have noticed something peculiar. Certain stocks seem to finish the day right on the dot of a round number — $33.00, $74.00, $100.00. Sometimes you’ll even catch…
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Few things feel more counterintuitive in trading than buying into uncharted territory. Whether it’s a stock breaking into uncharted territory or a broad index hitting another all-time record, the little voice in the back of your head will more often than not tell you it’s the wrong thing to do – that it’s too late…
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Every reporting season, we see the same pattern. A major company posts weaker-than-expected results, and its value plunges; the media quickly blames exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the turmoil. The argument runs that passive investing has “broken” market discovery. It sounds neat, but it oversimplifies a complex reality. Unfortunately, this is the case with this piece…
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In trading, as in many high-performance fields, it’s easy to get caught up in the scoreboard. On the surface, it appears that the metrics that measure our profitability are the things we should focus exclusively on. Yet, the truth is far more subtle: focusing solely on outcomes is not just misleading—it’s dangerous. Profitability comes from…
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In trading, survival is rarely about predicting the market with flawless foresight. Instead, it often depends on how you frame risk, execute consistently, and allow probability to work in your favour. Two ideas that are frequently confused—but vitally important to distinguish—are precision and accuracy. They sound similar, yet for traders, they represent entirely different skills.…
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Economists love to tell each other stories about perverse incentives. The “cobra effect” is a favourite. It describes an attempt by the British Raj to rid Delhi of its cobras by paying a bounty for each cobra skin, thus encouraging a thriving cobra-farming industry. The cobra story is probably an urban myth — or a…
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In the world of trading, complexity is often mistaken for sophistication. Charts littered with oscillators, trend lines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and exotic indicators can give the illusion of control. But beneath that clutter lies a painful truth: no indicator can tell you what will happen next. They tell you what has already happened—filtered, lagged,…
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“Winners quit all the time. They just quit the right stuff at the right time.”— Seth Godin, The Dip Trading Is Full of Dips Every trader, whether beginner or seasoned pro, has faced it: the stagnating equity curve, the stretch of losses that feel personal, the creeping doubt that your edge has vanished. That’s the…
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In the popular imagination, traders are often portrayed as instinct-driven mavericks, reading flickering charts with a gut feel honed through adrenaline and caffeine. Movies and media amplify this mythology—traders shouting into phones, making deals on impulse, riding the chaos of the market. But the reality—at least for those who survive and thrive in the markets—is…
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