I came across this chart over the weekend. It looks at the volatility of stock, bond and currencies markets. The article that accompanies it falls into a trap I have commented on before namely, that volatility and changes in volatility are predictive. My view is that they are post-dictive – that is they react after…Details
I have been waiting for awhile for a breakout of congestion to enable me to go long the Dow. Looks like I will have to wait a little bit longer.
I came across this image on Bespoke – those folks who generate arrays of dazzling data very few of which are in any way helpful to market participants. It shows the daily change on the S&P 500 since January and I have no idea why this would be of interest but I thought I would…Details
I posted this in the Alumni section of our Mentor program forum yesterday and thought I would drop it into the blog for others to see. ——————————————————————————————————————————————————— I have just done the Market wrap segment for Talking Trading and as you would expect part of the focus was on the US and the difficulty…Details
Within trading one of the things that is often missing is the need for perspective, the noise that accompanies the markets generally obscures what is actually happening. It also forces upon traders an unnecessary granularity on both their analysis and their emotional response. If you were anywhere vaguely near a radio, tv, website or paper…Details
Every time I have the misfortune to accidentally be within earshot of a US news broadcast regarding markets it seems I am assailed by the magic 52 week high. The thinking behind this metric is quite sound – if stocks are making new yearly highs then the market is sound. Being a cumulative index it…Details
With the Russians playing funny buggers in the Ukraine I came across the following table from the WSJ.it looks at the response of the market to a series of shocks. I was surprised to see that the Cuban missile crisis only dropped the market 2.7% .I would have thought that the prospect of Armageddon would…Details