LATEST BLOGS

Commodities and the CRB Index

I thought it would be instructive to look at the relative performance of commodities over select time frames and then to look at this in the wider context. For those not familiar with the CRB Index it is a weighted commodity index with the predominant weighting being energy related issues such as crude. This weighting…

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CFDs

The Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS) in a profound act of ignorance and nannying has called for a ban on investors trading derivatives such as CFDs until they can prove that they are capable of doing so. ”In our experience, the only investors who trade in CFDs successfully are sophisticated traders who watch and manage their…

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More oil

I am beginning to wonder whether the mere fact that people are betting on oil moving to $200 a barrel will not in some way become a self fulfilling prophecy. The interesting thing about options trading is that the easiest way to go broke (other than writing puts) is to buy deep out of the money options.…

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CFDs

The Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS) in a profound act of ignorance and nannying has called for a ban on investors trading derivatives such as CFDs until they can prove that they are capable of doing so. ”In our experience, the only investors who trade in CFDs successfully are sophisticated traders who watch and manage their…

Read more

More oil

I am beginning to wonder whether the mere fact that people are betting on oil moving to $200 a barrel will not in some way become a self fulfilling prophecy. The interesting thing about options trading is that the easiest way to go broke (other than writing puts) is to buy deep out of the…

Read more

The Science of Traffic Jams

You might ask what do traffic jams have to do with trading but have a look at the graphic below and think about how natural systems have a tendency to bunch, trend and have differing level of synchronization. Traders often think that markets are somehow distinct from the natural world – I think this view…

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The Science of Traffic Jams

You might ask what do traffic jams have to do with trading but have a look at the graphic below and think about how natural systems have a tendency to bunch, trend and have differing level of synchronization. Traders often think that markets are somehow distinct from the natural world – I think this view…

Read more

Monkey brain traders

THE capuchin monkeys working with economist Keith Chen and psychologist Laurie Santos know a good bargain when they see one. They use metal chips as money, buying bits of apple or cucumber from humans, and they seem to know what they’re doing. When the researchers make apple cheaper than cucumber – offering more food for…

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Monkey brain traders

THE capuchin monkeys working with economist Keith Chen and psychologist Laurie Santos know a good bargain when they see one. They use metal chips as money, buying bits of apple or cucumber from humans, and they seem to know what they’re doing. When the researchers make apple cheaper than cucumber – offering more food for…

Read more

Why the news is bad for you

One of the most troubling thing I find about new arrivals to our mentor program is their reliance upon external sources of news and the profound cluttering effect this has upon their thinking. This paper gives 15 reasons why the news is bad for you . Avoid_News_Part1_TEXT In summary they are – News misleads systematically…

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