Just as December is the month when financial experts…..sorry dickheads make total fools of themselves by making worthless predictions for the upcoming year so January is the month where everybody bangs on about how January predicts the year. Unfortunately, it doesn’t; it is yet another zombie idea that has taken root in the financial community…
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The following graphic looks at 122 years of Dow Returns. You can find the original here at Albert Bridge Capital. Initially it looks like another infographic that looks pretty but doesn’t say much. However, there are are some interesting points to be drawn from spending a bit of time simply looking at the data. The…
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One of the difficulties that new investors face is the extraordinary range of investing strategies that are presented to them. These strategies are often presented as gospel from what new traders would perceive to be sources of authority. One of the oldest chestnuts that I absolutely abhor is the notion of dollar cost averaging which…
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I came across this chart below which examines the most common lies that people tell on their CV’s. Source – YourGovUK It is fairly obvious that the most common lie relates to either education or qualification and this is a point I have some personal experience with. Many, many years ago when I was silly…
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WHEN HRISTOS DOUCOULIAGOS was a young economist in the mid-1990s, he got interested in all the ways economics was wrong about itself—bias, underpowered research, statistical shenanigans. Nobody wanted to hear it. “I’d go to seminars and people would say, ‘You’ll never get this published,’” Doucouliagos, now at Deakin University in Australia, says. “They’d say, ‘this is bordering on libel.’”…
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Mathematicians had already developed bookie-beating models that attempt to predict sporting outcomes, but they are hard to devise and don’t perform consistently. So Lisandro Kaunitz at the University of Tokyo and his colleagues tried a more direct approach: using the bookmakers’ odds against them. The team studied data on nearly half a million football matches…
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I support a particular hospital charity that each year or so runs a home lottery and every year I enter. To date I have won a digital camera, an iPod, an Apple TV, a tonne of chocolate, wine (brilliant for a non drinker but good for presents) and a host of other goodies. In fact…
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