Loving all the talk about outrageous returns on social media lately. Particularly those claiming deep triple-digit returns. The attached image shows what 1000% return looks like on various starting amounts. Expect to see some of you in Forbes list of billionaires quite soon.
I offer this without comment. The background is that apparently this punter thought that Luckin Coffee INC ADR was a sure thing and put their life savings into it. Apparently it didn’t go as planned. For reference.
A little while ago I wrote a piece on whether adding information to a trading system increased its fidelity and in one of those happy little coincidences that sometimes occur in life the following arrived courtesy of Facebook.
Sometimes you see comments that make you put your head on the side and develop a quizzical look, much like a labrador contemplating the origin of calculus debate….was it Leibniz or Newton? The comment that caused this was a throwaway line saying that this was the worst market depression we had ever seen, I immediately…
Well, doesnt this suck. That will teach you to try and be a clever dick…. The April 20 historic oil price crash that sent the prompt May WTI contract plunging to the unheard of price of negative $40 per barrel now seems like ancient history with oil back in the $20s (at least until the…
I snipped this out of the WSJ as the majority of the article is hidden behind a paywall but the introductory paragraph gives you the general idea. More here – The Wall Street Journal PS Not so well off folks can also be clueless about such things. Many years ago my recently divorced neighbour knocked…
Social media is the gift that just keeps on giving. Dropped into my LinkedIn page this morning to see a fund manager – that is someone who takes other peoples money and trades it proclaim that the recent rise in the price of orange juice futures was because people thought vitamin C was good for…
Quick answer … No To answer this question, we develop new testing methods for identifying superior forecasting skills in settings with arbitrarily many forecasters, outcome variables, and time periods. Our methods allow us to address if any economists had superior forecasting skills for any variables or at any point in time while carefully controlling for…
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