A study set to appear soon in the Journal of Accounting Research asks whether deceptive chief executives and chief financial officers give themselves away by the language they use in the course of their conference calls. David F. Larcker and Anastasia Zakolyukina, both of Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, have developed prediction models (though still rather…
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I found this chart that I generated a few years in my archive folder. It looks at $100,000 invested in either cash or the average return of the top 200 superfunds I should update it to see if the general pattern holds true in the current environment. My guess is that it probably does and…
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Social media is the gift that just keeps on giving. Dropped into my LinkedIn page this morning to see a fund manager – that is someone who takes other peoples money and trades it proclaim that the recent rise in the price of orange juice futures was because people thought vitamin C was good for…
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The chart below is from Institutional Investor and it tracks where family offices which are essentially private wealth management groups are placing their capital. These charts always tend to follow a very generic flow – a lot in liquid assets such as equities, nowhere near as much as you would think in real estate and…
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Within trading there are a few implicitly stated rules – perhaps first and foremost of these is the acceptance of risk for the opportunity to profit. The balancing act between risk and reward has over the decades been fertile ground for academics to traders. Academics seek a mythical middle ground that defines an appropriate balance…
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Britt Harris: I have to surround myself with people who are strong in areas where I am not, whom I trust. The Texas model is in part about diversity of thinking, and diversity of thinking comes from knowing what your personal genius is, and what your perspective is. That helps you work on your strengths. It’s…
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The chart below is from a recent analysis from the World Economic Forum The report points out in detail the simple fact that people are living longer than their retirements savings, the returns they have from their existing investments are inadequate and the government will struggle to make up any shortfall. The takeaway message is…
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The chart below shows a series of predictions by experts on the future of the US 10-year T-Note. As you can see they missed by miles which should not be any surprise at all what is surprising is that anyone still listens to them. Source – WSJ
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